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Fed Rates
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$98.7M Vol.
Jan 28
Fed Rates
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$92.6M Vol.
Jan 28
Sports
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$59.2M Vol.
Feb 8
Sports
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$31.8M Vol.
May 27
Soccer
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$27.1M Vol.
May 31
World Elections
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$26.3M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$24.9M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$24.8M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$23.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$22.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$22.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$22.4M Vol.
Dec 31
World Elections
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$21.3M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$21.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$20.6M Vol.
Dec 31
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$20.6M Vol.
Dec 31
World Elections
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$20.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Fed Rates
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
97%
chance
Yes 97%
No 3%
$20.3M Vol.
Jan 28
World Elections
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$20.3M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$19.7M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$18.9M Vol.
Nov 7
Fed Rates
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$18.2M Vol.
Jan 28
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$18.1M Vol.
Dec 31
Global Elections
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$18.0M Vol.
Jan 25
Sports
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$17.6M Vol.
Jul 1
World Elections
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$17.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$17.5M Vol.
May 31
World Elections
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$17.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$17.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$15.9M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$15.7M Vol.
Jul 1
World Elections
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$15.5M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$14.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$14.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$13.9M Vol.
May 31
World Elections
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$13.9M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$13.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$13.0M Vol.
May 27
Politics
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$12.8M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$12.7M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$12.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$12.3M Vol.
May 27
Soccer
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$12.3M Vol.
May 31
World Elections
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$11.8M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$11.7M Vol.
Jul 1
World Elections
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$11.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$11.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$11.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$11.2M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$11.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$10.8M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$10.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$10.7M Vol.
May 27
Soccer
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$10.5M Vol.
May 31
Sports
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$10.2M Vol.
May 27
World Elections
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$10.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$9.9M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$9.9M Vol.
Feb 8
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$9.9M Vol.
Dec 31
World Elections
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$9.8M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$9.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$9.5M Vol.
May 31
Sports
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$9.4M Vol.
Jul 1
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$9.3M Vol.
Dec 31
Global Elections
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$9.1M Vol.
Jan 25
Sports
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$9.0M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 92%
$8.9M Vol.
Feb 8
World Elections
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$8.9M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$8.8M Vol.
May 27
Global Elections
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$8.7M Vol.
Jan 25
Politics
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$8.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$8.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$8.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
38%
chance
Yes 38%
No 63%
$8.5M Vol.
Dec 31
World Elections
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$8.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Global Elections
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$8.3M Vol.
Jan 25
Politics
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$8.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$8.2M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$8.1M Vol.
Feb 8
Geopolitics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
14%
chance
Yes 14%
No 86%
$7.9M Vol.
Mar 31
Politics
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$7.8M Vol.
Nov 7
Culture
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
49%
chance
Yes 49%
No 52%
$7.7M Vol.
Jul 31
Sports
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$7.7M Vol.
Feb 8
World Elections
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$7.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.5M Vol.
May 27
Politics
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$7.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.3M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 93%
$7.3M Vol.
Feb 8
Sports
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.3M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.3M Vol.
May 27
Sports
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.2M Vol.
May 27
Soccer
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.2M Vol.
May 31
Global Elections
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.1M Vol.
Jan 25
Sports
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.0M Vol.
May 27
Geopolitics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$6.9M Vol.
Mar 31
Sports
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.9M Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.8M Vol.
May 27
Sports
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.8M Vol.
May 27
Politics
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Global Elections
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.6M Vol.
Jan 25
Politics
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$6.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.3M Vol.
May 31
Soccer
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.2M Vol.
May 31
Soccer
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.1M Vol.
May 31
World
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
45%
chance
Yes 45%
No 56%
$6.0M Vol.
Dec 31
World Elections
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$6.0M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$5.9M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
35%
chance
Yes 35%
No 66%
$5.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Foreign Policy
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 88%
$5.4M Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$5.4M Vol.
Feb 8
Sports
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
19%
chance
Yes 19%
No 81%
$5.3M Vol.
Feb 8
Sports
Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.3M Vol.
May 27
World Elections
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$5.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.1M Vol.
May 31
Global Elections
Will Jorge Pinto win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.0M Vol.
Jan 25
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.0M Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$5.0M Vol.
Feb 8
Sports
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.9M Vol.
May 27
Sports
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.8M Vol.
Jul 1
Geopolitics
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 94%
$4.8M Vol.
Dec 31
Soccer
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.7M Vol.
May 31
Sports
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.6M Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.6M Vol.
May 27
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.5M Vol.
Dec 31
Soccer
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.5M Vol.
Jul 20
World Elections
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
28%
chance
Yes 28%
No 73%
$4.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
17%
chance
Yes 17%
No 83%
$4.5M Vol.
Feb 8
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.5M Vol.
Dec 31
Global Elections
Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.5M Vol.
Jan 25
Soccer
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.4M Vol.
May 31
World Elections
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.4M Vol.
Jul 20
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
43%
chance
Yes 43%
No 57%
$4.4M Vol.
Dec 31
Soccer
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.4M Vol.
May 31
Soccer
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.3M Vol.
Jul 20
Sports
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
9%
chance
Yes 9%
No 92%
$4.3M Vol.
Feb 8
World Elections
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$4.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Global Elections
Will Vitorino Silva win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.1M Vol.
Jan 25
Sports
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
10%
chance
Yes 10%
No 90%
$4.1M Vol.
Feb 8
Sports
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.1M Vol.
Jul 1
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$4.0M Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$4.0M Vol.
Feb 8
World Elections
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$3.9M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.9M Vol.
May 31
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$3.9M Vol.
Dec 31
Global Elections
Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.9M Vol.
Jan 25
Sports
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$3.8M Vol.
Feb 8
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
64%
chance
Yes 64%
No 37%
$3.7M Vol.
Dec 31
Politics
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$3.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$3.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
76%
chance
Yes 76%
No 25%
$3.6M Vol.
May 27
Global Elections
Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.6M Vol.
Jan 25
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 89%
$3.5M Vol.
Dec 31
Global Elections
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$3.5M Vol.
Jan 25
Politics
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$3.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Global Elections
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.5M Vol.
Jan 25
Sports
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.4M Vol.
May 30
World Elections
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$3.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
52%
chance
Yes 52%
No 49%
$3.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19%
chance
Yes 19%
No 82%
$3.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.4M Vol.
May 27
Sports
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.4M Vol.
May 30
Soccer
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$3.3M Vol.
May 31
Sports
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 90%
$3.3M Vol.
Feb 8
World Elections
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$3.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.3M Vol.
May 30
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$3.2M Vol.
Dec 31
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.2M Vol.
Dec 31
Soccer
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.2M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.2M Vol.
May 31
World Elections
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5%
chance
Yes 5%
No 95%
$3.2M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$3.2M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
19%
chance
Yes 19%
No 82%
$3.2M Vol.
May 27
World Elections
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$3.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 87%
$3.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$3.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.1M Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.1M Vol.
May 27
Sports
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$3.1M Vol.
May 27
World Elections
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$3.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.0M Vol.
May 30
Soccer
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.0M Vol.
Jul 20
World Elections
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.9M Vol.
Nov 7
Global Elections
Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.9M Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.9M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.9M Vol.
May 30
Politics
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.8M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$2.8M Vol.
Nov 7
Brazil
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
53%
chance
Yes 53%
No 48%
$2.8M Vol.
Oct 4
Sports
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.8M Vol.
Jul 1
Culture
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
49%
chance
Yes 49%
No 52%
$2.8M Vol.
Jul 31
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$2.7M Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.7M Vol.
May 30
World Elections
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$2.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 90%
$2.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.6M Vol.
Jul 1
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.6M Vol.
Dec 31
Soccer
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$2.6M Vol.
May 31
Sports
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.5M Vol.
May 30
World Elections
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$2.5M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$2.5M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$2.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.5M Vol.
Dec 31
Politics
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.5M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 93%
$2.4M Vol.
Jul 1
Soccer
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$2.4M Vol.
May 31
World Elections
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 92%
$2.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.4M Vol.
Jul 20
Sports
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.4M Vol.
May 30
Courts
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
26%
chance
Yes 26%
No 75%
$2.3M Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.3M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.3M Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.3M Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.3M Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
39%
chance
Yes 39%
No 62%
$2.3M Vol.
Jul 1
World Elections
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$2.2M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.2M Vol.
May 31
Sports
Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.2M Vol.
May 30
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.2M Vol.
Dec 31
World Elections
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.2M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.2M Vol.
May 30
2025 Predictions
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.1M Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5%
chance
Yes 5%
No 95%
$2.1M Vol.
Jul 1
World Elections
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$2.1M Vol.
Jul 1
Geopolitics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$2.1M Vol.
Mar 31
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.0M Vol.
Dec 31
Politics
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.0M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.0M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.0M Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.0M Vol.
Jun 10
World Elections
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$2.0M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 90%
$1.9M Vol.
May 31
Sports
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.9M Vol.
Jul 1
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.9M Vol.
Dec 31
Global Elections
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.9M Vol.
Jan 25
Global Elections
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.8M Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.8M Vol.
Jul 1
Politics
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.8M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$1.8M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.7M Vol.
Dec 31
World Elections
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.7M Vol.
Jul 1
World Elections
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.7M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Global Elections
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
35%
chance
Yes 35%
No 66%
$1.7M Vol.
Jan 25
World Elections
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.6M Vol.
Jul 1
Soccer
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.6M Vol.
Jul 20
Sports
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.6M Vol.
Jul 1
Soccer
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.6M Vol.
May 31
World Elections
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5%
chance
Yes 5%
No 96%
$1.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.5M Vol.
Jul 1
Soccer
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.5M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.5M Vol.
May 31
Sports
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.5M Vol.
May 30
Soccer
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.5M Vol.
Jul 20
World Elections
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.5M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 93%
$1.5M Vol.
May 31
Politics
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Jerome Powell
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.5M Vol.
Dec 31
Soccer
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.4M Vol.
May 31
Politics
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 93%
$1.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
16%
chance
Yes 16%
No 85%
$1.4M Vol.
May 31
putin
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
10%
chance
Yes 10%
No 91%
$1.4M Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.3M Vol.
Jul 1
Soccer
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$1.3M Vol.
May 31
Soccer
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.3M Vol.
May 31
Politics
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.3M Vol.
Jun 21
World Elections
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.3M Vol.
Jul 20
Politics
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 90%
$1.3M Vol.
Jul 1
Politics
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Brazil
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
16%
chance
Yes 16%
No 84%
$1.2M Vol.
Oct 4
Soccer
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
19%
chance
Yes 19%
No 82%
$1.2M Vol.
May 31
Soccer
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.2M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$1.2M Vol.
Jul 20
Politics
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
33%
chance
Yes 33%
No 68%
$1.2M Vol.
Dec 31
Soccer
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.2M Vol.
Jul 20
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.2M Vol.
May 31
Global Elections
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
20%
chance
Yes 20%
No 80%
$1.2M Vol.
Jan 25
Brazil
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 87%
$1.2M Vol.
Oct 4
Sports
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 93%
$1.2M Vol.
Jul 1
World Elections
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.1M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.1M Vol.
Jul 20
Global Elections
Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.1M Vol.
Jan 25
Soccer
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 90%
$1.1M Vol.
May 31
Soccer
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 92%
$1.1M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.1M Vol.
Jul 20
Brazil
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.1M Vol.
Oct 4
Soccer
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.1M Vol.
Jul 20
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.1M Vol.
Jun 30
Soccer
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 88%
$1.1M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
9%
chance
Yes 9%
No 92%
$1.1M Vol.
May 31
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.1M Vol.
May 31
Politics
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.1M Vol.
Jul 20
Global Elections
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
31%
chance
Yes 31%
No 69%
$1.0M Vol.
Jan 25
Soccer
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.0M Vol.
Jul 20
Brazil
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.0M Vol.
Oct 4
Trump
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.0M Vol.
Feb 28
Politics
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
92%
chance
Yes 92%
No 8%
$1.0M Vol.
Dec 31
Soccer
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.0M Vol.
Jul 20
Sports
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 94%
$1.0M Vol.
Jul 1
Awards
Will Rental Family win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.0M Vol.
Mar 15
Culture
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
52%
chance
Yes 52%
No 49%
$1.0M Vol.
Jul 31
Awards
Will A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.0M Vol.
Mar 15
Soccer
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$995.1K Vol.
Jul 20
Politics
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$982.0K Vol.
Nov 7
Brazil
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$980.7K Vol.
Oct 4
Soccer
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 97%
$979.6K Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$973.0K Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 90%
$965.0K Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$955.4K Vol.
Jul 20
Politics
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$944.3K Vol.
Dec 31
Soccer
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$934.2K Vol.
Jul 20
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
55%
chance
Yes 55%
No 46%
$932.8K Vol.
May 31
Brazil
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 93%
$929.9K Vol.
Oct 4
Soccer
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$928.4K Vol.
Jul 20
US Election
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
79%
chance
Yes 79%
No 22%
$925.4K Vol.
Jul 11
Sports
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
65%
chance
Yes 65%
No 36%
$920.4K Vol.
May 30
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
45%
chance
Yes 45%
No 56%
$909.8K Vol.
May 31
Awards
Will Jay Kelly win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$897.4K Vol.
Mar 15
Soccer
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
12%
chance
Yes 12%
No 89%
$896.7K Vol.
May 31
Macro Indicators
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$896.1K Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$890.6K Vol.
May 30
Global Elections
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 92%
$888.8K Vol.
Jan 25
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 93%
$883.1K Vol.
Soccer
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$874.4K Vol.
Jul 20
Crypto
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
80k
82%
150k
18%
$869.5K Vol.
Jan 1
Crypto
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Gold
70%
ETH
31%
$859.5K Vol.
Jun 30
Finance
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$858.1K Vol.
Soccer
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$836.3K Vol.
Jul 20
Brazil
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$836.1K Vol.
Oct 4
Soccer
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$816.8K Vol.
Jul 20
video games
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$801.0K Vol.
Feb 28
Soccer
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$800.3K Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16%
chance
Yes 16%
No 85%
$788.6K Vol.
Jul 20
Sports
Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$774.5K Vol.
Jan 20
Brazil
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$765.4K Vol.
Oct 4
Awards
Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$762.2K Vol.
Mar 15
Soccer
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14%
chance
Yes 14%
No 87%
$760.9K Vol.
Jul 20
Trade War
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
28%
chance
Yes 28%
No 72%
$759.2K Vol.
Feb 28
Global Elections
Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$752.9K Vol.
Jan 25
Sports
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
33%
chance
Yes 33%
No 68%
$747.8K Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
72%
chance
Yes 72%
No 28%
$741.3K Vol.
Jan 20
Crypto
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
21%
chance
Yes 21%
No 80%
$740.8K Vol.
Jul 1
Soccer
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$733.8K Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$720.8K Vol.
Jul 20
US Election
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
22%
chance
Yes 22%
No 79%
$719.7K Vol.
Jul 11
Awards
Will Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$712.6K Vol.
Mar 15
Soccer
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10%
chance
Yes 10%
No 91%
$704.7K Vol.
Jul 20
Sports
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 88%
$697.0K Vol.
Jun 10
Awards
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$696.2K Vol.
Mar 15
Crypto
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
56%
chance
Yes 56%
No 44%
$684.0K Vol.
Jan 1
Culture
Will Park Chan-wook win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$676.4K Vol.
Mar 15
Global Elections
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$676.2K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Will annual inflation increase by 39% or higher in December?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$672.4K Vol.
Jan 31
Global Elections
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
96%
chance
Yes 96%
No 4%
$662.9K Vol.
Dec 31
balance
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$660.2K Vol.
Dec 31
Trade War
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
28%
chance
Yes 28%
No 72%
$658.1K Vol.
Feb 28
US Election
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
46%
chance
Yes 46%
No 54%
$642.9K Vol.
Nov 7
Iran
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
49%
chance
Yes 49%
No 51%
$642.7K Vol.
Mar 31
Politics
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
59%
chance
Yes 59%
No 42%
$619.7K Vol.
Jul 31
Culture
Will Hikari win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$602.0K Vol.
Mar 15
Soccer
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$595.9K Vol.
Jul 20
Culture
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
58%
chance
Yes 58%
No 42%
$594.1K Vol.
Jul 31
Sports
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
36%
chance
Yes 36%
No 64%
$589.4K Vol.
Feb 18
Sports
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
64%
chance
Yes 64%
No 36%
$583.9K Vol.
Feb 18
Culture
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
52%
chance
Yes 52%
No 48%
$582.3K Vol.
Jul 31
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
22%
chance
Yes 22%
No 79%
$581.2K Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will Verona win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$580.9K Vol.
May 28
Awards
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$570.3K Vol.
Mar 15
Global Elections
Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$562.1K Vol.
Jan 25
Sports
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
27%
chance
Yes 27%
No 73%
$555.0K Vol.
Jan 20
Global Elections
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$542.6K Vol.
Dec 31
Global Elections
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$537.1K Vol.
Dec 31
US Election
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
54%
chance
Yes 54%
No 47%
$520.3K Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$512.7K Vol.
Jul 20
Sports
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
24%
chance
Yes 24%
No 76%
$508.7K Vol.
Jun 30
Soccer
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$498.8K Vol.
Jul 20
Sports
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$472.1K Vol.
Jun 10
Movies
Will Colin Farrell win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$466.8K Vol.
Mar 15
Awards
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$450.8K Vol.
Mar 15
Sports
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
71%
chance
Yes 71%
No 30%
$445.8K Vol.
Jun 10
Crypto
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
89%
chance
Yes 89%
No 11%
$443.6K Vol.
Jan 1
Culture
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
51%
chance
Yes 51%
No 50%
$443.5K Vol.
Jul 31
Politics
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$437.3K Vol.
Dec 31
balance
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$417.5K Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$416.7K Vol.
Jan 26
Sports
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$415.8K Vol.
Jun 10
Trade War
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
40%
chance
Yes 40%
No 60%
$405.6K Vol.
Feb 28
Sports
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$403.8K Vol.
Jun 10
All-In
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
5%
chance
Yes 5%
No 95%
$398.8K Vol.
Dec 31
Global Elections
Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 99%
$398.1K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
38%
chance
Yes 38%
No 63%
$387.0K Vol.
Dec 31
Politics
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$381.8K Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
12%
chance
Yes 12%
No 89%
$379.5K Vol.
May 28
Awards
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
78%
chance
Yes 78%
No 23%
$375.0K Vol.
Mar 15
Crypto
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
16%
chance
Yes 16%
No 84%
$373.0K Vol.
Jan 1
Culture
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
56%
chance
Yes 56%
No 45%
$371.7K Vol.
Jul 31
Economy
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$366.9K Vol.
Jan 29
Culture
Will Jon M. Chu win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$364.3K Vol.
Mar 15
Politics
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$364.2K Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$362.0K Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$360.3K Vol.
Feb 7
Soccer
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
14%
chance
Yes 14%
No 86%
$359.3K Vol.
May 27
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
93%
chance
Yes 93%
No 7%
$356.0K Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$355.3K Vol.
Jun 10
Israel
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
27%
chance
Yes 27%
No 74%
$349.7K Vol.
Dec 31
balance
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$348.5K Vol.
Dec 31
Awards
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$347.5K Vol.
Mar 15
Politics
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
67%
chance
Yes 67%
No 34%
$346.4K Vol.
Mar 3
Culture
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
84%
chance
Yes 84%
No 17%
$340.5K Vol.
Mar 15
Global Elections
Will Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$336.1K Vol.
Dec 31
Geopolitics
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 93%
$331.8K Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
10%
chance
Yes 10%
No 90%
$331.5K Vol.
Jun 10
Culture
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 94%
$331.0K Vol.
Mar 15
Epstein
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 90%
$329.9K Vol.
Dec 31
Global Elections
Will Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$326.8K Vol.
Jan 25
Politics
Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$324.2K Vol.
Dec 31
Big Tech
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$321.2K Vol.
Jun 30
Politics
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$318.5K Vol.
Dec 31
balance
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
99%
chance
Yes 99%
No 1%
$315.6K Vol.
Dec 31
deficit
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$314.8K Vol.
Jan 6
Politics
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
36%
chance
Yes 36%
No 65%
$309.9K Vol.
Nov 3
Sports
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$309.0K Vol.
Jan 21
Politics
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$303.2K Vol.
Dec 31
Trade War
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$302.8K Vol.
Feb 28
Macro Indicators
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$302.5K Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$296.2K Vol.
Jun 10
balance
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$296.0K Vol.
Dec 31
Movies
Will Channing Tatum win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$294.7K Vol.
Mar 15
Trump Presidency
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$294.0K Vol.
Oct 31
Sports
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?
28%
chance
Yes 28%
No 73%
$292.9K Vol.
Jan 26
Politics
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$288.7K Vol.
Dec 31
Movies
Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$287.2K Vol.
Mar 15
Poland
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 95%
$285.9K Vol.
Dec 31
Trump
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 94%
$278.6K Vol.
Dec 31
Trump
Trump impeached by end of 2026?
12%
chance
Yes 12%
No 89%
$277.6K Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?
18%
chance
Yes 18%
No 82%
$277.6K Vol.
Jan 26
Finance
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
9%
chance
Yes 9%
No 92%
$277.4K Vol.
Jul 1
balance
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$273.2K Vol.
Dec 31
Culture
Will June Squibb win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$272.3K Vol.
Mar 15
Culture
Will Jafar Panahi win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$271.9K Vol.
Mar 15
Sports
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$270.2K Vol.
Jun 10
Politics
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
19%
chance
Yes 19%
No 82%
$268.7K Vol.
Nov 3
Tweet Markets
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?
98%
chance
Yes 98%
No 2%
$263.8K Vol.
Dec 31
Awards
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$262.9K Vol.
Mar 15
Sports
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$257.6K Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$254.9K Vol.
Feb 18
Sports
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32%
chance
Yes 32%
No 69%
$253.1K Vol.
Apr 12
Trump Presidency
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 94%
$251.9K Vol.
Mar 31
Ukraine
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
24%
chance
Yes 24%
No 76%
$249.8K Vol.
Mar 31
Movies
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
24%
chance
Yes 24%
No 77%
$246.4K Vol.
Mar 15
Awards
Will One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
99%
chance
Yes 99%
No 1%
$246.0K Vol.
Jan 22
Sports
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$245.6K Vol.
Jun 30
Global Elections
Will Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$242.3K Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$237.2K Vol.
Jan 26
Awards
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 93%
$236.2K Vol.
Mar 15
Elon Musk
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
46%
chance
Yes 46%
No 55%
$232.6K Vol.
Jun 30
Israel
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
17%
chance
Yes 17%
No 83%
$231.5K Vol.
Dec 31
US Election
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
66%
chance
Yes 66%
No 34%
$231.2K Vol.
Nov 3
Ukraine
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
80%
chance
Yes 80%
No 21%
$229.8K Vol.
Mar 31
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
14%
chance
Yes 14%
No 86%
$229.5K Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
35%
chance
Yes 35%
No 65%
$229.3K Vol.
Jan 26
Sports
Will the Jaguars win the AFC Championship?
15%
chance
Yes 15%
No 85%
$226.2K Vol.
Jan 26
Sports
Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$225.8K Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$224.3K Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$220.7K Vol.
Jun 10
Awards
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$219.5K Vol.
Mar 15
Business
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
26%
chance
Yes 26%
No 75%
$218.8K Vol.
Dec 31
Macro Indicators
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$218.1K Vol.
Dec 31
Culture
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
68%
chance
Yes 68%
No 33%
$218.0K Vol.
Jul 31
Sports
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$217.0K Vol.
Jun 10
Economy
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?
100%
chance
Yes >99%
No <1%
$215.3K Vol.
Jan 31
World
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
99%
chance
Yes 99%
No 1%
$215.1K Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$214.5K Vol.
Jun 30
World
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
46%
chance
Yes 46%
No 55%
$212.3K Vol.
Dec 31
Business
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$209.2K Vol.
Dec 31
Big Tech
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$206.2K Vol.
Jun 30
Culture
GTA VI released before June 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$204.6K Vol.
May 31
Awards
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$204.2K Vol.
Mar 15
Politics
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
5%
chance
Yes 5%
No 95%
$203.2K Vol.
Mar 3
Movies
Will Hugh Jackman win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$202.9K Vol.
Mar 15
Movies
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
63%
chance
Yes 63%
No 37%
$202.9K Vol.
Mar 15
AI
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$202.1K Vol.
Jun 30
Politics
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$202.1K Vol.
Nov 3
Sports
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$199.8K Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$194.0K Vol.
Jun 10
Soccer
Will Crystal Palace finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$192.6K Vol.
May 27
